July 29, 2015

Florida's Stormy Pattern to Continue Flood Risk

Drenching downpours, locally gusty thunderstorms and squalls at sea will continue in and around Florida into the weekend.

While Florida is typically very active in terms of tropical downpours and thunderstorms during the middle of the summer, this pattern will bring stronger, more drenching and more frequent storms than average to part of the state.

Most of the storms will tend to focus along the Florida west coast and central counties of the peninsula from Interstate 4 to I-10. However, some storms will also affect the northern counties of the state and along the Atlantic coast.


Many of the storms have been traveling from the southwest to the northeast, rather than the traditional Atlantic coast to interior locations.  According to AccuWeather Hurricane and Southeast Expert Dan Kottlowski, "This movement is likely to continue into midweek and will allow some storms to reach the Atlantic beaches during the late afternoon and evening."

Rainfall has averaged 2-4 inches over the central counties of the peninsula, since the start of the weekend. A few locations have picked up 6 inches.  Additional heavy rainfall is forecast over the central and northern counties of the state into this weekend. During the pattern, some communities may end up with more than a foot of rain with many locations receiving 3-6 inches for the entire event.


A slow-moving storm system and stalled front responsible for the rainfall and storms will linger nearby this week and into the weekend.  The southeastern counties of the peninsula and the Keys will receive the least amount of rain from the stormy pattern. These areas are in need of rain due to building drought this summer.

There continues to be a chance of tropical development along the frontal zone, but this chance is low and may soon diminish.

"Since the area of disturbed weather is close to land and may move over the United States mainland, the small chance of tropical development will get even smaller," Kottlowski said. "Dry air and disruptive winds aloft will continue to greatly reduce the chance of development elsewhere in the Atlantic basin through the first half of August."

All areas, especially those along the Southeast U.S. coast, will continue to be monitored closely.

By Alex Sosnowski, AccuWeather.com Senior Meteorologist

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