February 9, 2010

Florida Citrus Estimates Reflect Freeze Damage



By Doug Ohlemeier
A month after freezes swept through Florida fruit and vegetable production areas, the U.S. Department of Agriculture gave a positive prognosis to grapefruit and orange crops, although volumes are lower than earlier estimates.

A Feb. 9 monthly citrus production report from the USDA shows lower orange, grapefruit and tangerine movement. Tangerines and grapefruit each lost 700,000 equivalent boxes from January to February with honey tangerines sustaining a 26% loss and grapefruit down 3.6% nearly a month after the freeze. Even with the sharp decline in tangerines, however, the USDA forecasts tangerine production to be 4% higher than last season. The USDA also lowered projected volume of Florida mid-season and valencia oranges by 6 million cartons.

In late January, Florida Agricultural Statistics Service surveyors assessed fruit and leaf damage in unharvested groves, cutting and scoring fruit for damages. “Over 50% of the fruit that we checked had no apparent damage,” said Jeff Geuder, the Orlando-based agriculture statistics’ agency director. “But some had damage all the way into the center cut.” In freeze-damaged groves, the agency said it assumed remaining fruit would increasingly dry out and exhibit damage that progresses towards the center of the fruit.

The agency plans to conduct additional assessments Feb. 15-16 and in early March. Candi Erick, the agency’s administrator, said the abnormal cold, which hit the state Jan. 3-12, slowed sizing and growth and caused smaller sizes in honey tangerines, with some fruit dropping from trees. “Last year we saw the same thing happen after the cold weather,” she said. “The growth rate really slowed and fruit did not continue to size as expected.”

Al Finch, vice president of sales and marketing for Diversified Citrus Marketing, Lake Hamilton, Fla., the marketing arm of the Dundee Citrus Growers Association, said the freeze damaged its honey tangerines and cut volume. “There was some freeze damage in grapefruit as well as mid-season oranges, but overall, we came out fine from the freeze,” he said Feb. 9. “If the freeze hadn’t happened, we would have had a bigger honey tangerine crop than last year. It should be more similar to last year’s crop going into early April.” Finch said he expects adequate volume to match increased retailer interest in bagged citrus for March and April promotions.

The USDA attributed the decrease in grapefruit production to lower January growth rates and reported slower growth rates and droppage in the orange crop. Valencias sizes have been smaller than average, according to the USDA. The state’s mid-season varieties normally end in February when the late-season valencias harvest begins, running through June.

Despite the expected lower production, Mike Sparks, executive vice president and chief executive officer of Lakeland-based Florida Citrus Mutual, said he expects the state to produce another quality crop. “We are definitely seeing the effects of the prolonged freeze we experienced in January,” he said in a news release. “As a whole, the industry came through in decent shape; we did have frozen fruit and leaf damage across most of the growing regions and this report reflects that.”

Florida orange production ships primarily to processing with 4% — 7 million cartons — last season selling to fresh channels. Though 57% (4 million cartons) of the state’s tangerines normally go fresh, 70% of the deal last year shipped fresh. About 41% or 10 million cartons of Florida’s grapefruit normally ships fresh.
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Southern U.S. Weather Forecast

Rain will spread across the Southeast today ahead of the system moving through the region.

The system currently moving into California will begin to bring a chance of rain and snow into the Southern Plains Wednesday and Thursday, spreading across the Southeast on Friday before heading out to sea by Saturday.

A few rain and snow showers are possible in the Southern Plains on Sunday.

Forecast by Weather.com
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Second, Late-Week Snowstorm Threatens Much of South

As the storm destined to be the next blizzard for 2010 brought snow, ice, rain and thunderstorms to the southern Plains and the lower Mississippi Valley Monday, a second storm is poised to bring the Deep South substantial and disruptive snow later in the weekend.

The combination of the soon-to-be blizzard, the upcoming southern snowstorm and more storms on the West Coast will make this the worst week of winter thus far for the nation, affecting well over one half of the population.

A snowstorm with increasing winds will continue to impact ground travel and flight departures at airports over the southern Plains through tonight.Activities and schools will also be delayed or canceled much of the week due to the current winter weather and more soon to come.

Snow got to Denver, Oklahoma City, Little Rock and Memphis early this week with the first storm.

Cold air sweeping in on gusty winds will help to create power interruptions, icy roads and a little more snow on the tail end sweeping eastward through the southern Plains and the Mississippi and Tennessee valleys into Wednesday.

A second storm aiming for California today into Wednesday with flooding rain and pass-clobbering snow will be a colder storm for the southern Plains, northern Texas and much of the Deep South.

The storm on deck will hit spreading snow and ice from the Four Corners Wednesday night to Oklahoma, and Arkansas to northern Texas and northern Louisiana Thursday, then on to Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina and perhaps neighboring states Friday.

The potential for major travel disruptions from snow will spread eastward from Dallas to Atlanta during the second half of the week.

A new round of heavy rain, flooding and related travel problems will trek along the Gulf Coast as well.

Story by AccuWeather.com Alex Sosnowski
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February 8, 2010

January Florida Climate Summary

Prepared by David F. Zierden and Melissa Griffin The Florida Climate Center

Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL

Click on heading to read full report on AgroClimate. Read More!

Southern U.S. Weather Forecast

The South will be mainly quiet today, but a system moving out of the Desert Southwest will begin to bring showers to parts of the Southern Plains later today.

Rain and snow will increase in coverage across the Southern Plains tonight and into the Lower Mississippi Valley tomorrow with accumulating snow possible from the Texas Panhandle through northern Oklahoma into the Ozarks through tomorrow evening.

Rain will spread across the Southeast on Tuesday with a wintry mix and snow possible in Virginia.

As this system moves out on Wednesday, a new system will begin to move into the Southern Plains bringing a chance of rain and snow Wednesday and Thursday spreading across the Southeast on Friday.

Forecast by Weather.com
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February 5, 2010

Coastal Flood Watch, Areal Flood Watch


24-hour rainfall totals through 7am ET Friday: Pensacola: 3.12", Crestview: 2.76"

Statement as of 7:00 AM EST on February 05, 2010
... Coastal Flood Watch remains in effect through this evening...


The strong southerly winds and swells may push water levels along the Franklin and Wakulla County coastline to 1 to 2 feet above normal tide levels Friday morning... and Friday afternoon through early Friday evening along the Jefferson... Taylor and Dixie County coastline. Maximum tides may reach as high as 3 feet at the time of high astronomical tide... and result in beach erosion and coastal flooding.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A coastal Flood Watch means that conditions favorable for flooding are expected to develop. Coastal residents should be alert for later statements or warnings... and take action to protect property.
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February 2, 2010

Southerners Deal with More Flooding

Following a deluge of upwards of 7-8 inches of rain over a couple of spots in southeastern Florida on Monday, scattered downpours could again cause flooding issues for the area today.

The same storm spreading slippery snow and ice into the mid-Atlantic will drag its cold front and associated showers and storms across the Florida Peninsula.

The wet weather over southeastern Florida will be mostly confined to the afternoon and evening.

Meanwhile, a steadier, but soaking rain is also expanding from Georgia into the eastern Carolinas today.

Some communities that lie in this zone could also have enough rain for flooding, especially in low-lying and poor drainage areas.

Locations along rivers and streams that already have minor flooding may also have more troubles.

Heavy rain and spray from other vehicles could create slow travel along portions of I-4, I-10, I-40, I-75 and I-95.

Airport delays are also likely in the wet zone of this storm.


Story by AccuWeather.com Meteorologist Meghan Evans.
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February 1, 2010

USDA declares Florida freeze disaster areas

The U.S. Department of Agriculture has declared nearly all of Florida counties as natural disaster areas after record cold weather struck the Sunshine State in early and mid-January.

On Jan. 29, Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack issued an official declaration designating 60 of the state’s 67 counties as primary natural disaster areas after growers suffered losses from record frosts and freezes Jan. 2-14.

Nearly all of state’s peninsular counties and all of Florida’s southern counties are in the disaster area — from Tampa, Fla. to the Florida Keys and from the Jacksonville area to the Indian River citrus region and to Immokalee and Naples in southwest Florida.

The declaration allows federal resources such as low-interest loans from the Farm Service Agency to help growers financially recover from the freeze.

Growers and grower groups say the cold damaged a minimum of a third of the state’s winter produce and up to 75% of south Florida vegetables.

“Record cold temperatures over an unprecedented 12-day period dealt a serious blow to Florida agriculture,” Rep. Adam Putnam, R-Fla., said in a news release. “I have spent several days inspecting farms across our state, and it is clear that every sector of Florida agriculture — from aquaculture to zucchini — was affected.

Putnam said the federal program should help growers return to harvesting as soon a possible.

The continuous subfreezing temperatures also put many farmworkers out of work, Putnam said in the release.



Read more about the federal programs here



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A Stormy Week Ahead for the Southeast


Dry weather has returned to the Southeast following a major winter storm that dumped feet of snow in the mid-Atlantic.

However, this will be but a brief break before a storm brewing in the Gulf of Mexico invades.

This storm will first target Florida today.

As the day progresses, rain will overspread the Sunshine State from southwest to northeast.

While the rain will not be particularly heavy, a few rumbles of thunder and flooding downpours can be expected in the southern portion of the state.

Tonight into Tuesday, drenching rain will head northward, enveloping the Southeast Coast.

The heaviest rain will inundate the Florida Peninsula through the coastal Carolinas, but those from southeastern Louisiana to southern Virginia can expect wet weather from this system.

As the moisture approaches North Carolina late tonight, subfreezing temperatures will allow freezing rain to leave a slick coating on roads.

The freezing rain will change over to rain as temperatures warm above freezing on Tuesday morning.

Colder air in place over Virginia will also allow snow to mix in with the rain as it overspreads the area on Tuesday afternoon

High pressure and dry weather will then take control over the Southeast during the middle of the week.

However, a storm set to drench the southern Plains on Wednesday will edge eastward into the Southeast late this week.

This system will bring another round of soaking rain. A wintry mix could even find its way into the same areas of the mid-Atlantic hit hard by last weekend's winter storm.

Following the recent bouts of heavy rain, many rivers in the Southeast are already running high. The combination of snowmelt and additional rain from this week's storms could lead to flooding problems.

By Katie Storbeck AccuWeather.com
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January 29, 2010

When It Rains, It Pours

The Deep South is in line for drenching rain and possible flooding.

Heavy rain already fell through central Texas, and wet weather is pushing into eastern Texas.

Today, the rainstorm will enter the central Gulf Coast region, then move on to the Southeast tonight and Saturday.

Rainfall from the storm will range from 1 to 3 inches, certainly enough to cause local flash flooding.

In addition to heavy rain, there is concern for isolated heavy thunderstorms that could produce wind gusts over 60 miles per hour.

No widespread severe weather outbreak is expected, however.

Story by AccuWeather.com Senior Meteorologist John Kocet.
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