Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, Florida

8:00 AM EDT Wed. July 27, 2011

For the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave near the Yucatan channel continues to become better organized...and radar data from Mexico suggests that a circulation could be forming about 50 miles northeast of Cancun.

If current trends continue a Tropical Depression could develop later today.

Interests in the Northeastern Yucatan peninsula...as well as the central and western Gulf of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system as it moves west-northwestward near 15 mph.

This system has a high Chance 80 percent of becoming a tropical cyclone during the Next 48 hours. An air force reserve hurricane hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system later today.

Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.