- Tropical Storm Arthur is spinning off the Florida coast, and is expected to strengthen.
- A tropical storm watch is in effect from Fort Pierce north to just south of Flagler Beach on the east coast of Florida.
- This system will track near parts of the Eastern Seaboard from Florida to North Carolina through the Fourth of July holiday.
- All residents from eastern Florida to the Mid-Atlantic coast should monitor the progress of this system.
- Tuesday: Arthur is likely to lollygag off the east coast of Florida and north of the northwest Bahamas Tuesday. The somewhat hostile conditions (wind shear, dry air) limiting the system's organization the past few days are expected to lessen and Arthur may gather some strength.
- Wednesday: A slow north-northeast crawl will continue. The system's center will likely move east of the northeast Florida coast. Situated over the Gulf Stream, Arthur will continue to gather strength.
- Thursday: Arthur should bend toward the northeast and accelerate, and will be located somewhere near or off the coast of the Carolinas. Arthur may be a strong tropical storm and has a chance of intensifying to a Category 1 hurricane.
- Friday: Arthur makes its closest approach to eastern North Carolina (Outer Banks), possibly extreme southeast Virginia, then takes a sharper northeast turn out into the open Atlantic, as the jet stream westerlies exert their steering influence.
- Florida: Bands of showers will wrap ashore in eastern Florida through early Thursday. Gusts over 50 mph are possible in some of these rainbands. Outside of those rainbands, the strongest winds will remain offshore. Seas will build, with a threat of rip currents and some minor beach erosion possible. Arthur will have exited the area by Thursday, but a trailing band of rain/t-storms is possible.