2:00 pm EDT Thursday July 7, 2011
For the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico.
Cloudiness and showers extending from Yucatan across the eastern gulf of Mexico.
The Florida peninsula and the Northwestern Bahamas are primarily associated with an elongated area of low pressure.
Although this system has become a little better organized.
During the past several hours upper-level winds are expected to be only marginally conducive for further development. There is a low chance 20% Of this system becoming a tropical or subtropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
An area of disturbed weather associated with a tropical wave is centered about 550 miles east-southeast of the Southern Windward islands.
Although development of this system is not expected Locally heavy rains are possible over northern South America and the Southern Windward Islands during the next day or two. There is a low chance 10% of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.