NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, Florida
2:00 pm EDT Tuesday June 28, 2011
For the North Atlantic Caribbean sea and the Gulf of Mexico a low-level circulation associated with a broad area of low pressure over the Bay of Campeche has become better defined today but the accompanying shower activity has changed little in organization.
Upper-level winds are forecast to gradually become more conducive for development.
The system has the potential to become a tropical depression later today or on Wednesday.
There is a high chance 70% of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.