September 27, 2010

Tropical Threat Still Looms

Remnants of Matthew could reorganize to form a tropical storm.

The atmosphere is loaded with water at historic levels, and rain bands could drop 2 to 4 inches over an area in as many hours, meteorologist Dan Gregoria said today from the weather service’s Miami office.

The heaviest rain will be from Tuesday night through Wednesday afternoon.

The National Hurricane Center’s 2 p.m. tropical weather outlook upped to 40 percent the chance the storm will do just that, and become a tropical depression or Tropical Storm Nicole, by Wednesday afternoon.

A push of dry air from the mid-continent of the North America should protect people and property over northern Mexico, Texas and the northern Gulf Coast from most tropical concerns through the balance of hurricane season this year.

However, that same push could result in a see-saw effect flinging tropical systems northward from the Caribbean.

The closer you are to the source, the greater the risk of direct impacts from these systems. Florida is the closest of U.S. concerns in this case.

Glancing blows from one or more systems could bring episodes of strong winds, rough seas and heavy rains to points of land that stick out farther north along the Atlantic Seaboard, such as Cape Hatteras and Cape Cod.

There is also the risk that one or more of these systems is much stronger than the others, hence the risk for a major hurricane thrown into the mix.

By Alex Sosnowski, Expert Senior Meteorologist -

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