August 4, 2010

Colin Weakens to Remnant Low, Still Worth Watching

Tropical Storm Colin has been downgraded to a remnant low pressure area.

However, this remnant low will need to be watched for possible re-generation over the next several days as it continues to track off to the west and eventually northwest.

As of 5 p.m. EDT Tuesday, the remnants of Colin were about 540 miles east of the Leeward Islands. The low is tracking toward the west-northwest at 35 mph and will continue to track in this direction at similar speed over the next 24 hours.

There is no major threat to land, but the center of the low is expected to track over the northern Leeward Islands Wednesday night and take a track toward Puerto Rico Thursday.

Whether or not the remnant low re-generates into Tropical Storm Colin on its projected slowing west to west-northwest track through the weekend, it will be no threat to the East Coast of the United States through the weekend.

There could be higher waves and perhaps a higher rip current risk to the East Coast beaches from Florida to the Carolinas over the weekend, depending on how the storm behaves. The track of the remnant storm itself is forecast to be over the Atlantic well to to the east of Florida Sunday.

A frontal system crossing the United States is forecast to move off the East Coast and steer to the low on a more northerly direction after Sunday.

Dry air and a fast flow were partly responsible for the demise of Colin as a tropical storm, but conditions could eventually become a little more favorable for development, as some computer guidance suggests.

Historically, tropical storms named in the area where Colin has formed rarely threaten the United States.

However, with the possibility of re-development and a track taking it near the East Coast, residents in both the United States as well as Bermuda should be sure to keep checking back at's Hurricane Center for the latest information.

By Dave Houk, Expert Senior Meteorologist,

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